Category: Semafor

Kalshi continues its push onto Wall Street. The prediction market platform on Thursday launched 13 contracts that let users bet on the outcome of clinical drug trials, distilling the biggest milestones for biotech stocks into a simple yes or no. In recent days, it has also expanded its contracts that ...

Free alpha alert: Betting on who’s going to win World Cup games isn’t the only way to bet on the tournament. Stock-market volatility in country-specific indexes tends to spike after their national teams play, according to a new analysis from data-modeling firm Polybridge. A country’s stock market is about 15% ...

Robotics data startup Microagi closed a $55 million seed funding round, the largest ever in Germany, the company said Thursday. Microagi made headlines in May when it rolled out a service in New York offering free apartment cleanings, so long as customers let the company record everything. It has licensed ...

The US imposed 25% tariffs on some Brazilian imports over alleged “unfair” practices, a decision that could upend the South American country’s economy and politics. President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to impose tariffs on Brazil — even though it is one of the few Latin American countries with which ...

Mexico’s president rejected allegations from the head of the US Drug Enforcement Administration that there is a “deadly connection” between her government and cartels, the latest escalation in bilateral tensions. Washington has in recent months pressured Claudia Sheinbaum to extradite senior Mexican officials it says have ties to organized crime: ...

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy dismissed a popular defense minister, leading to public protests. Mykhailo Fedorov had only been in post for six months, but was credited with convincing SpaceX to block the Russian military’s access to Starlink, causing chaos for Kremlin forces, and with pushing the successful strategy of using ...

The US and Iran exchanged a new wave of attacks, quashing any hopes of a rapid end to the conflict. Washington struck a tanker and targets in northern Iran, while Tehran fired on US military facilities in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. US President Donald Trump claimed the Strait of Hormuz ...

China’s planned restrictions on rare earth exports could put $6.5 trillion in downstream production at risk, the International ​Energy Agency said, underscoring Beijing’s chokehold over an industry critical to the global economy. Last October, China decided to expand export controls in response to tariffs imposed by Washington, though Beijing later ...

Argentina will face Spain in the FIFA men’s World Cup final on Sunday, after the defending champions beat England 2-1 in a testy showdown on Wednesday. The match spotlighted a bitter, decades-long rivalry between two teams that hadn’t played each other in 21 years. The feud centers on the 1986 ...

Europe remains reliant on China and the US for critical military components even as it projects confidence in shouldering its own defense. Brussels is allowing Ukraine to spend EU funds on Chinese drone parts, the Financial Times reported, underscoring “the gaps that remain in the EU’s domestic defense production.” And ...